MODULE 7: Uncertainty and Limitations of Probabilistic Genotyping Systems

MODULE 7: Uncertainty and Limitations of Probabilistic Genotyping Systems

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Probabilistic Genotyping of Evidentiary DNA Typing Results – An Online Workshop Series
Module 7: Uncertainty and Limitations of Probabilistic Genotyping Systems

Wednesday, June 26th, 2019 from 12:00:00 PM ET – 4:00:00 PM ET
Duration: 4 hour(s)

Has a person of interest contributed DNA to a mixture obtained from evidence? Is that DNA associated with a crime? Both are questions that cannot be answered with absolute certainty. This module of the Probabilistic Genotyping of Evidentiary DNA Typing Results workshop series addresses the uncertainty and limitations of probabilistic genotyping systems that are used to calculate likelihood ratios and infer genotype sets from DNA typing results. Probabilistic reasoning provides a means to characterize these results, given the unknown information in forensic evidence, the stochastic environment, and sources of variability. Instructors in Module 7 will explore strategies of interpretation and decision making in light of these and other variables, such as the uncertain number of contributors, and will share research on the impact of these variables on the likelihood ratio.

Additionally, courts are becoming increasingly interested not just in “whose DNA is this?” but “how did the DNA get there?” Therefore, the instructors will revisit topics introduced earlier in the series to dive deeper into the relevance of a DNA profile, given today’s advanced detection sensitivity and the potential for DNA transfer, as well as activity level reporting and the hierarchy of propositions.

Detailed Learning Objectives:

1) Describe sources of uncertainty in mixture interpretation and their influence on the likelihood ratio

2) Devise a strategy to address contributor number assignment/re-assignment

3) Address questions regarding the potential for DNA to be transferred through contact and persist on evidence

4) Be aware of developments that assist the courts in considering activity level propositions

The archival registration is coming soon and is not yet available.

Funding for this Forensic Technology Center of Excellence event has been provided by the National Institute of Justice.

Amke Caliebe – University of Kiel, Kiel, Germany
Zane Kerr – Institute on Environmental Science and Research, Auckland, New Zealand
Klaas Slooten – Netherlands Forensic Institute & Vrije University, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Bianca Szkuta – Victoria Police Forensic Services Department & Deakin University, Geelong, Australia

Register Here

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Each of our webinars is archived within about two weeks of the live date and will be posted on our website. Please subscribe to our newsletter for archival notification.